Neil Hodgson Column: Marco Bezzecchi and Marc Marquez favourites at unpredictable Grand Prix of Brazil, Francesco Bagnaia already under pressure
By Marko Tankosic
SME News Balkan. Sports expert Neil Hodgson believes the upcoming Grand Prix of Brazil could deliver one of the most unpredictable race weekends of the season, with heavy rain and an unfamiliar circuit set to test every rider on the grid. With no prior data on the new track, Hodgson expects a level playing field — and possibly a shock result.
New Track and Weather Could Change Everything
The Brazilian circuit presents a unique challenge, with riders entering the weekend without previous experience or setup knowledge. Combined with heavy rainfall and potential flooding around the edges of the track, conditions could become extremely tricky. Hodgson warned that grip levels may be inconsistent, making race strategy and adaptability crucial.
Marquez Fitness a Major Factor
Marc Marquez could be the biggest threat if he is close to full fitness. Despite not being at 100% in the season opener, he still delivered a near-winning performance. Hodgson compared Marquez’s ability in changing conditions to legendary Formula 1 driver Michael Schumacher, highlighting his exceptional feel for grip and timing — especially when switching bikes mid-race. If rain hits, Marquez’s adaptability could give him a decisive edge over the field.
Bezzecchi Leads the Contenders
According to Hodgson, Marco Bezzecchi starts the weekend as the favourite after his strong early-season form. The flowing nature of the Brazilian track is expected to suit his bike, making him a serious contender for back-to-back wins. Young star Pedro Acosta also remains in the mix, with his aggressive style and current championship lead making him dangerous in unpredictable conditions.
Home Hopes and Rising Talent
Franco Morbidelli could benefit from local support, while rookie Diogo Moreira carries the hopes of Brazilian fans. Moreira’s tribute to Ayrton Senna adds extra emotion to the weekend, though expectations remain measured given his inexperience.
Bagnaia Under Pressure
All eyes will also be on Francesco Bagnaia, who endured a disappointing opening round. Hodgson admitted concern over the Ducati rider’s form, suggesting the conditions and track layout may not suit him. With pressure building in what could be his final season with Ducati Lenovo Team, this weekend could prove pivotal. Despite his struggles, Hodgson stopped short of writing off the two-time world champion, noting that Bagnaia still has the talent to bounce back at any moment.
Unpredictability the Only Certainty
From weather concerns to a brand-new circuit, the Brazil Grand Prix is shaping up to be one of the most open races of the season. With Bezzecchi leading the charge, Marquez regaining strength, and Bagnaia fighting to respond, MotoGP fans can expect drama, surprises, and potentially a defining moment in the 2026 title race.
